Wednesday 23 January 2013

About emotion in trading


The number one in my reading list:
REMINISCENCES OF A STOCK OPERATOR to Jesse Lauriston Livermore; by Edwin LeFevre

Quite many articles been written base on this book about the legend in trading (speculation) of Jesse Livermore, who lived in the early 19 century. However, many members find difficulties and finding time to read this book about this celebrated trader (probably the best of all times).  

Here are some extracts from some of those articles written about this book. At the end of this article is another author who formulated some rules base on this book.




Extract from articles by Adam Hamilton; January 31, 2003

“The huge profits are merely a pleasant byproduct. The real pleasure for speculators involves being right and being rewarded for being right!
è paradox of not to make money but to trade correctly!


“If you are a new trader and all you have is $1000 to risk, don’t worry about it at all.  If you are right and your trades are blessed with success, your stake, or “line” as Jesse Livermore called it, will grow.
…don’t let your lack of capital intimidate you - Everyone starts small.”
è If you can’t make with a hundred, you won’t make with a thousand!


“Having open positions is always an emotional burden…”

“If something just doesn’t feel right and you are uncomfortable with the markets for some reason, get out and don’t trade until your comfort returns.
ð  Emotion is the spoiler!


“The really big wins in trading don’t come out of daily scalping, but out of diligently riding entire major bullish and bearish market swings.’
è  ride the trend till the end. Let profits run!


“After a losing trade you have to swallow your pride, accept your loss, learn your lesson, and move on to more successful trades in the future.
è know that losing is part of the game. Everybody has losses!


“The reason everyone doesn’t win in a bear market ……..bias against shorting.
è if it is a bear market, short!

“ If a bull trend is evident, be long.  If a bear trend dominates, be short. 
…doesn’t care at all which way the markets are moving, he just wants to be “right” and recognize the trend early…”
“…general sentiment can shift so incredibly rapidly no one has a clue whether the markets will be up or down tomorrow.”  
è track and follow the trend. Not base on your opinion!


“…that at least several years of “training” via actual real-world trading is necessary to build up one’s core speculation skills sufficiently to start winning big.

Speculation is immensely challenging …….. chink in your emotional armor. 
…have no illusions that your path ahead will be easy.  It will be a huge challenge for you 

One has to actually speculate in the real markets with real capital in order to become a good speculator.  There is no other way.

…that real-world trading is the school of hard knocks



“….be aware of the ever-present possibility of something really unusual transpiring out of the blue.”
è position size and protect all trades with stops.


“…know there are times to trade and times not to trade.” 
è be patient! Wait till all criteria in place before enter the market.


“…learn “what not to do in order not to lose money”….. you can “begin to learn what to do in order to win.”  Never give up!
 è trade correctly!


****** Extract from articles by Adam Hamilton; January 31, 2003


{also refer to my CARDINAL RULES}


From his blog:
PostDateIcon January 16th, 2013 | PostAuthorIcon Author: Stephen Burns

Here are seven lessons from Jesse Livermore who is considered by many as one of the greatest traders who ever lived.

Lesson Number One: Cut your losses quickly.

As soon as a trade is contemplated, a trader must know at what point in time he’ll be proven wrong and exit a position. Risk management should dictate the size of the trade and how much you can lose. Deciding where to exit when a position is going against you is not a winning strategy.

Lesson Number Two: Confirm your judgment before trading a larger than average position.

Livermore was famous for throwing out a small position and waiting for his thesis to be confirmed by it going in his favor. Once the stock was traveling in the direction he desired, Livermore would maximize his trading size for out sized wins.

There are many ways to add to a winning position — pyramiding up at key pivot points, building a position as the trade goes in your favor, being 100% in no more than 5% above the initial entry — but the take home is to buy in the direction of your winning trade –  never when it goes against you. Never add to a losing position.

Lesson Number Three: Watch leading stocks for the best action.

Livermore knew that trending issues were where the big money would be made, and to fight this reality was a loser’s game. Shorting monster stocks is a very dangerous undertaking when they are under accumulation by large funds.

Lesson Number Four: Let profits ride until price action dictates otherwise.

“It never was my thinking that made the big money for me. It always was my sitting.”

One method that satisfies the desire for profit and subdues the fear of a losing trade is to take one half of your profit off at a predetermined level, put a stop at breakeven on the rest, and let it play out without micromanaging the position. All my biggest wins were in trades where I had no price target I simply let a winner run until it reversed back through my trailing stop. This is how the big money is made in trending markets.

Lesson Number Five: Buy all-time new highs.

The psychological merits of buying all-time or 52-week highs are immense and shouldn’t be discounted as a part of your overall strategy. Buying a break out to all time highs out of a long term consolidation of a price range in a high growth stock is one of the best ways to make money in the stock market.

Lesson Number Six: Use pivot points to determine trends.

When going long, traders are continually looking for confirmation by assessing the strength of a move. Higher highs and higher lows are a solid indicator that a current uptrend is merely taking a slight pause, and the odds of higher prices are in their favor. These same pivot points are integral to drawing support and resistance lines to give traders their line in the sand. Taken together, trend lines and pivot points can enlighten a trader to a change in momentum, which may change the character of a trade. Also be on the look out for key century marks in prices like $100, $500, $700, these are psychological areas where many traders have made the decision to buy or sell. Few traders decide “if it gets to $497.23 I will sell, they think $500.

Lesson Number Seven: Control your emotions.

Great trading is done with the mind not the emotions. Following trends and robust systems not your own fear and greed is what makes money in the markets.


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